Press Release

 Press Release 19 May 2014 Regional Sales Continued to Decline Regional Light Vehicle sales in ASEAN5 continued to decline in March 2014. Total sales came in at around 275k, a 15% decrease from the same month of the previous year. The declining trend has continued throughout the first quarter at 14%. This was mainly as a result of continually declining sales in Thailand, whose sales declined by 47% in March or 46% for the quarter. Significant and considerable growth in the other four markets could not offset the much bigger reduction by volume in Thailand. The reduction has continued to follow our previous projection, and the 2014 sales outlook has been kept unchanged at around 3.2 million units. Market normalization from the first car buyer scheme continued its mechanism behind the contraction in Thailand. March sales at just above 81k were significantly lower than the 91k of March 2011, but were exceptionally high compared to average monthly sales in 2011 of 64k. The movement followed our hypothesis that Thai sales would shrink back to the trendline prior to the first car scheme in 2012, plus some addition on an expansion of the newly created Eco‐Car sub‐
segment. The Seasonally Adjusted Annualized Rate in March dropped further to 861k from 882k in February, but we have kept the annual topline for 2014 unchanged at 972k. The outlook was based on optimistic assumptions on recovery in the second half of the year. The view is on the downside. In contrast to the significant contraction of the Thai market, sales continue to grow considerably in the other four markets. The most significant growth by volume could be observed in Indonesia, followed by the Philippines, Vietnam and Malaysia. The growth, however, accounted for only 35% of the declined volume in Thailand. Indonesia recorded another set of monthly sales at more than the 100k level, the sixth time since July 2013. March sales grew 19% to just below 102k. Sales expanded most in the Mini Car segment, boosted by the introduction of new models under the government’s Low Cost Green Car project since September 2013. Mini Car sales have expanded from a few hundreds units previously to a monthly average of 13k since the introduction of the project. Expansion of the MPV/Minivan segments is also equally behind the March expansion in Indonesia. This was purely driven by the newly launched Honda Mobilio, as sales of the model alone were comparable to the increased volume of the whole MPV/Minivan segment. As a result, quarterly sales increased by 13%. With these positive drives, we have slightly adjusted the yearly outlook upwards to around 1.2 million units. March sales in the Philippines and Vietnam increased significantly with 26% and 42% growth, and sales registered at 22k and 11k respectively. Quarterly sales also grew in line by 24% and 38%. Annual sales are expected at 224k and 120k. Malaysian sales grew limitedly at 2% and 1% by month and quarter, mainly as a result of a combination of an expansion in the Sub‐Compact Car segment and a contraction in the Compact Car segment. The Toyota Vios and the Honda Jazz were behind the growth in the former segment, while the Proton Preve and the Nissan Almera were behind the reduction in the latter segment. Annual sales were expected to grow, also limitedly by 4% at 674k. ASEAN Top Lines
Mar
Growth
YTD
Market Performance
Growth
2014f
Growth
Sales
290,297
-14%
804,086
-14%
PV
202,224
-11%
564,342
-11%
2,344,811
-3%
LCV
72,316
-23%
199,041
-23%
841,827
-11%
M&H CV
15,757
-3%
40,703
-12%
Production
370,322
-9%
1,055,810
-12%
Malay sia
Indonesia
PV
235,408
-3%
667,927
-7%
2,691,153
9%
LCV
117,904
-22%
345,735
-21%
1,554,123
-1%
17,010
14%
42,148
-6%
M&H CV
Mar
Thailand
Philippines
Vietnam
Growth
Share
Growth
Share
PV
43,895
-51%
54%
116,110
YTD
-50%
53%
LCV
37,471
-41%
46%
101,870
-40%
47%
PV
51,653
3%
88%
141,491
2%
89%
LCV
6,744
-3%
12%
16,791
-4%
11%
PV
81,719
19%
80%
238,883
16%
80%
LCV
20,165
19%
20%
60,157
6%
20%
PV
17,591
27%
79%
47,577
24%
79%
LCV
4,554
19%
21%
12,502
24%
21%
PV
7,366
56%
69%
20,281
45%
72%
LCV
3,382
19%
31%
7,721
23%
28%
Group Sales Performance
ASEAN GROWTH RATE
= Month
-60%
-30%
YTD VOLUMES
= YTD
0%
Asean
Grow th
30% Volume
Thailand
Volume Grow th
Malaysia
Volume Grow th
Indonesia
Volume Grow th
Philippines
Volume Grow th
Vietnam
Volume Grow th
Toy ota Group
304,437
-3%
84,215
-33%
25,882
19%
163,226
16%
22,828
33%
8,286
14%
Honda Group
79,130
-32%
22,361
-69%
15,627
30%
36,080
34%
3,318
-16%
1,744
283%
Mitsubishi Motors
57,344
-21%
16,856
-54%
3,745
4%
24,043
8%
11,859
20%
841
145%
Suzuki Group
51,393
3%
5,303
-48%
1,550
14%
42,281
17%
1,447
39%
812
-22%
Isuzu Motors
49,228
-25%
40,009
-30%
2,358
3%
3,723
-1%
3,044
12%
94
-46%
Perodua Automotiv e
44,024
-6%
0
N/A
44,024
-6%
0
N/A
0
N/A
0
N/A
Renault-Nissan Group
43,861
-42%
17,478
-58%
11,634
-20%
12,483
-25%
1,865
-10%
401
-9%
DRB-Hicom
32,958
-6%
140
-53%
32,733
-4%
85
-72%
0
N/A
0
N/A
Hy undai Group
24,915
2%
914
-42%
4,966
-16%
3,142
-29%
7,782
5%
8,111
59%
Ford Group
20,983
-16%
9,838
-34%
2,924
3%
1,229
-54%
3,692
38%
3,300
81%
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