AP Statistics Syllabus 2014-15

AP Statistics Syllabus
Paige Rios
St Helena High School
AP Statistics 2014-2015
Email
LMS
Remind (texts)
Website
prios@sthelenaunified.org
www.myhaikuclass.com/paige.rios/apstatistics
(530) 402-8738 @shapstats
https://sites.google.com/site/riosshhs
Brief Description of Course:
This course will emphasize statistics as a practical discipline. Exercises will involve
mathematical computation, interpretation and written response. Exercise topics will require
students to discuss the problem and justify the method (think), to do some work by hand or
technology (show), and to draw a reasoned conclusion that responds to the initial motivation for
the exercise (tell). The course will examine data analysis through statistical graphs, standard
deviation, sampling variability, inference, data re-expression, sample surveys and experiments,
and probability distributions. Students using data from issues that students are likely to encounter
in everyday life from games of chance, politics, business, social sciences, science, and sports.
Course Material:
• Primary Textbook: Bock, David E, Paul F. Vellemen and Richard D. DeVeaux. Stats:
Modeling the World. 4th edition; Boston: Pearson/Addison Wesley, 2014.
• Students are expected to have a TI-83, TI-84+, or TI-Inspire calculator for this course.
• A graph-paper ruled composition book is required for chapter notes
• A binder to keep handouts organized is also required.
• In addition, an AP Statistics guide is highly recommended for the second semester.
Grading:

Quizzes

Problem Sets

Exams

Investigative Tasks

Frappys (FRQ)
60%
40%
As this is an AP course, the material is presented quickly in order to make sure you have been
introduced to all material prior to the exam on May 13th. If you are absent, you are required to
keep in touch with me regarding assignments and to use the website and textbook to continue to
learn the material. Each chapter builds on the chapter preceding it and all teaching in class will
be planned under the assumption that you are reading the textbook and watching the
corresponding videos. If you are absent on a due date, your work is still due that day as either a
hardcopy or an electronic copy. If you are absent on a test or quiz date, you need to make
arrangements with me for a make-up.
2014-2015
AP Statistics Syllabus
Paige Rios
St Helena High School
Course Expectations
All work assigned acts as an assessment of conceptual understanding. Given that, each
assignment will be scored for accuracy not simply completion.
Reading/Videos
Problem Sets
Investigative
Tasks/Frappys
Quizzes and
Exams
Prior to the start of
each chapter,
students are
expected to read
the corresponding
textbook chapter
and take notes. In
addition, videos
posted on the
LMS provide
additional
examination of
each chapter’s
topics. Notes
should be taken in
graph-paper ruled
composition book.
Each chapter will
have a
corresponding
problem set
assigned (usually
one per week).
Due dates will be
listed on the
problem sets.
Students are
encouraged to work
on these each night
and use them as a
tool to guide study
groups. Due dates
for problem sets
are firm. If you are
absent, it is
expected that you
get your problem
set turned in.
All chapters will
have corresponding
practice for the free
response portion of
the AP Exam.
Some of these will
be done as
homework
(Investigative
Tasks) and some
will be done under
a time constraint in
class (Frappys).
They will be graded
on the 4-point scale
used by College
Board.
Each chapter or
two will have a quiz
to assess your
understanding of
the concepts
presented in the
chapter(s). In
addition, there are
Unit Exams to test
multiple chapters.
The unit exams will
all be a
combination of
multiple choice and
free response to
give you practice
for testing in the
style expected on
the May exam.
50% Multiple
Choice and 50%
Free Response.
Pacing
Unit/
Chapter
Objectives
Textbook Reading
Unit I: Data
Exploring and Understanding
Data
Chapters 1-5
I/1 Data
-The W’s
-Categorical vs Quantitative
Read p. 1-10
Quiz/
Exam
Date
Quiz Monday
8/25/14
AP Statistics Syllabus
Paige Rios
St Helena High School
Unit/
Chapter
I/2
Objectives
Textbook Reading
Quiz/
Exam
Date
-marginal distribution
-conditional distribution
-displaying categorical data
-frequency/relative freq tables
-area principle
-Simpson’s paradox
Read p. 14-32
Quiz Monday
8/25/14
-describing distributions
-shape, center, spread
-histograms
-stem-and-leaf plots
-timeplots
Read p. 43-72
Quiz Monday
8/25/14
-summarizing
distributions numerically
-measures of center and spread
-boxplots
Read p. 83-96
Problem Set
Investigative Task
Quiz
Wednesday
9/5/14
I/5 Standard
Deviation
and Normal
Model
-shifting and rescaling data
-standardizing data with z scores
-the Normal Model
Read p. 107-130
Problem Set
Investigative Task
Quiz Friday
9/12/14
Unit I
Exploring and
Understanding Data
Exam
Exam
Wednesday
9/17/13
Unit II:
Relationships
between
Variables
Exploring Relationships
Between Variables
Chapters 6-9
II/6
Scatterplots:
Association
and
Correlation
-Describing association with
Read p. 150-166
Problem Set
II/7 Linear
Regression
-Deriving and
interpreting regression
lines
-correlation coefficient,
R- squared.
-understanding residuals
-correlation and std
deviation relationship
-subsets, lurking variables
-extrapolation
-influential and highleverage points
-straight enough and
outlier conditions
Categorical
Data
I/3
Quantitative
Data
I/4
Understanding
and
Comparing
Distributions
II/8
Regression
Wisdom
2014-2015
form, direction and strength
-explanatory vs
response variables
-outliers and lurking variables
Read p. 176-198
Problem Set
Investigative Task
Mid-Unit
Exam Ch 6/7
Friday
10/03/14
Read p. 209-222
Problem Set for chapters 9/10
AP Statistics Syllabus
Paige Rios
St Helena High School
Unit/
Chapter
Objectives
Textbook Reading
Quiz/
Exam
Date
II/9 Reexpressing
Data
-Using re-expression to make
Unit II
Exploring Relationships Between
Variables
Exam
Unit III
Gathering Data:
Randomness, Survey and
Experimental Design
Chapters 10-12
-randomness and simulation
design
Read p. 267-276
Problem Set for chapters 10/11
III/11 Sample
Surveys
-terminology of sampling
-population parameters
-bias in sampling
Read p. 280-299
Problem Set for chapters 12
Ch 10/11
Quiz Friday
10/31/14
III/12
Experiments
and
Observational
Studies
-identifying elements of
observational studies
-principles of experimental design
-effects of confounding and
lurking variables on experiments
and observational studies.
Read p. 305325 Problem
Set
Ch 12 Quiz
Take Home
due
Monday
11/10/14
Unit III
Gathering Data
Exam
Exam
Friday
11/14/14
Unit IV:
Randomness
and
Probability
Probability Rules and Models
Chapters 13-16
IV/13
Probability
-random phenomena
-Law of Large Numbers
-disjoint vs independent
-Addition, Multiplication and
Complement rules
Read p. 343357 Problem
Set
IV/14
Probability
Rules
-General Addition and
Multiplication Rules
-conditional probability
-independence
-tree diagrams
Read p. 363-382
Problem Set
Investigative
Task
Ch 13/14
Quiz
Wednesday
12/10/14
Final Exam
Cumulative Final Exam
Chapters 1-14
Third week in
December
Gathering
Data
III/10
Understanding
Randomness
data, more symmetric, straighter,
more consistent
-Ladder of Powers
Read p. 232-247
Problem Set for chapters
9/10 Investigative Task
Exam
Wednesday
10/15/14
AP Statistics Syllabus
Paige Rios
St Helena High School
Unit/
Chapter
Objectives
IV/15 Random -creating probability models
Variables
-expected values
Textbook Reading
Read p. 389-407
Problem Set
Quiz/
Exam
Date
Quiz Friday
1/16/15
-combining means and variances
IV/16
Probability
Models
-Bernoulli trials
-geometric and binomial models
-success/failure condition
Read p. 413-429
Problem Set
Investigative Task
Unit IV
Randomness and Probability
Exam
Unit V: From
Data at Hand
to World at
Large
Distribution Models for Proportions Chapters 17-21
V/17
Sampling
Distribution
Models
-Central Limit Theorem
-mean and std dev of sample
distributions
-standard error
Read p. 445-464
Problem Set
V/18
Confidence
Intervals for
Proportions
-construction of one-proportion zintervals
-margin of error
-interpretation of one-proportion
z-interval
Read p. 473-488
Problem Set
V/19 Testing
Hypotheses
for
Proportions
-null and alternative hypotheses
-conditions for z-test
-perform a one-proportion z-test
-interpret results of oneproportion z-test
Read p. 493-511
Problem Set
V/20 More
About Tests
-connecting hypothesis tests and
confidence intervals
-P-values and statistical
significance
-alpha levels and critical values
-Type I and II errors
-power and effect
Read p. 516-535
Problem Set
Investigative Task
V/21
Comparing
Two
Proportions
-hypotheses for testing difference
of two proportions
-confidence intervals and z-tests
for the difference in two
proportions
-conditions for testing
Read p. 541-556
Problem Set
Unit V
From Data at Hand to the World
at Large
Exam
2014-2015
Exam
Wednesday
1/28/15
Ch 17/18
Quiz
Tuesday
2/17/15
Ch 19/20
Quiz
Tuesday
3/3/15
Exam
Wednesday
3/11/14
AP Statistics Syllabus
Paige Rios
St Helena High School
Unit/
Chapter
Objectives
Textbook Reading
Unit VI:
Learning
About the
World
Inference About Means
Chapters 2224
VI/22:
Inference
about Means
-assumptions for t-tests and
intervals
Read p. 574597
-compute and interpret t-tests and
t-intervals
Problem set
VI/23
Comparing
Means
-conditions and assumptions for
two-sample t-test and two-sample
t-interval
-perform and interpret two-sample
t-tests and intervals
-degrees of freedom
Read p. 605624
VI/24 Paired
Samples and
Blocks
-recognize whether two groups
are paired or not
-perform paired t-tests and create
paired confidence intervals
-interpret results of paired tests
Read p. 634648 Problem
Set
Investigative
Task
Unit VI
Inference About Means
Problem Set
Chapters 22-24
VII/25
Comparing
Counts (ChiSquare)
-Chi-square tests of goodness of
fit, independence and
homogeneity.
-check conditions, perform and
interpret above tests
Read p. 672697; Problem
set
Investigative
Task
VII/26
Inferences
for
Regression
-check conditions, perform t-test
for the regression slope
-create confidence intervals for a
regression slope or predicted
mean value.
-interpret P-value for the t-test for
slope and confidence interval for
slope
Read p. 706-729
Determining the appropriate
test activity
AP Exam
Review
Unit by Unit Review
Various Activities for Homework
Quiz/
Exam
Date
Ch 22/23
Quiz
Tuesday
3/24/15
Exam Friday
4/3/14
Ch 25/26
TEST Friday
4/24/15
Practice AP
Exam
Tuesday 1-20 Multiple
Choice Wednesday 21-40
Multiple Choice + 1-3 Free
Response Friday 4-6 Free
Response
Practice AP
Exam
TuesdayFriday 4/28,
4/29, 5/1
AP Exam
Afternoon exam 12:30-4:00
Wed 5/13/14
AP Statistics Syllabus
Paige Rios
St Helena High School
2014-2015